How accurate are public opinion polls?

How accurate are public opinion polls in predicting election outcomes?

Public opinion polls can be quite accurate, but their reliability depends on factors like sample size, methodology, and timing.

What factors can affect the accuracy of these polls?

Key factors include the sampling method, question wording, response rates, and the timing of the poll relative to the election.

Are there any recent examples where polls were significantly off?

Yes, the 2016 U.S. presidential election is a notable example where many polls underestimated Donald Trump's support.

How can I determine if a poll is trustworthy?

Look for details on the methodology, sample size, and whether the pollster has a history of accuracy.