How accurate are polls in predicting election outcomes?

How accurate are polls in predicting election outcomes?

Polls can be quite accurate, but their reliability depends on factors like sample size, methodology, and timing.

What factors can affect the accuracy of a poll?

Key factors include the sample size, question wording, response bias, and whether the poll is conducted close to the election.

Are there any recent examples where polls were significantly off?

Yes, the 2016 U.S. presidential election is a notable example where many polls underestimated Trump's support.

How can I determine if a poll is trustworthy?

Look for reputable sources, check the sample size, methodology, and whether the poll has been peer-reviewed.